Scouting Report
Aliaksei Protas holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Protas wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Protas 47.1% vs Zegras 41.5% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 84.6%
Defensive zone
Zegras 60.9%
Neutral zone
Zegras 73.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Protas
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Protas
Zegras
Last 5: Protas 1-4 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
3
Protas
Zegras
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Protas
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Protas
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (115)
39.4% (510)
+6.7%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
47.1% (34)
-13.8%
On power play, Zegras has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Protas is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Protas shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Protas
Zegras
Home
50.0% (40)
42.3% (272)
Away
42.4% (85)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Protas
Zegras
P1
62.9%
37.6%
P2
25.0%
41.5%
P3
52.4%
40.8%
Final 5 min
34.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Protas
38.0%▬
37.5%
44.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Aliaksei Protas |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |