Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lee on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lee wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 48.3% vs Toews 57.9% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Lee leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lee 50.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 94.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 76.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Lee
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lee
Toews
Last 10: Lee 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lee
4
1
Lee
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
3
Lee
Toews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (638)
57.2% (13,047)
-10.3%
Power Play
50.8% (256)
63.3% (3,252)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
53.6% (1,810)
+8.9%
On power play, Toews has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Lee is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Lee shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Home / Away
Lee
Toews
Home
50.5% (430)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
46.0% (472)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Lee
Toews
P1
46.1%
58.6%
P2
48.6%
57.8%
P3
49.6%
57.3%
OT
55.6%
58.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
48.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Dec 5, 2021 | OT | 03:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Anders Lee |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Anders Lee |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Anders Lee |