Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lee wins 29.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 46.8% vs Stamkos 53.8% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lee 78.3%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 56.0%
Neutral zone
Lee 60.2%
Result
Anders Lee favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Lee
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lee
Stamkos
Last 6: Lee 2-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lee
2
0
Lee
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Lee
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (165)
54.1% (460)
-9.3%
Power Play
43.3% (30)
64.2% (106)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
45.3% (106)
+29.7%
On penalty kill, Lee has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lee is 29.9% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Lee shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Lee
Stamkos
Home
50.6% (89)
58.2% (328)
Away
40.9% (110)
50.6% (344)
By Period
Lee
Stamkos
P1
39.7%
57.5%
P2
44.8%
53.1%
P3
49.2%
52.7%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
39.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
45.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Anders Lee |