Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lee wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 48.3% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lee 75.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 80.0%
Neutral zone
Lee 54.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Lee
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Lee
Stamkos
Last 10: Lee 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lee
4
1
Lee
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
5
Lee
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lee
1
0
Lee
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (638)
50.4% (9,799)
-3.5%
Power Play
50.8% (256)
55.1% (1,725)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
49.7% (825)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Lee has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lee is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Lee shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Lee
Stamkos
Home
50.5% (430)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
46.0% (472)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Lee
Stamkos
P1
46.1%
49.1%
P2
48.6%
52.7%
P3
49.6%
50.9%
OT
55.6%
54.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
48.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 03:03 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Anders Lee |