Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burakovsky 48.6% vs Novak 44.9% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone
Novak 65.6%
Defensive zone
Burakovsky 51.6%
Neutral zone
Novak 58.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Burakovsky
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burakovsky
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (9)
41.7% (206)
-8.4%
On even strength, Novak has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Burakovsky is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Burakovsky shoots left. Novak is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Burakovsky
Novak
Home
25.0% (4)
44.9% (118)
Away
40.0% (5)
40.2% (107)
By Period
Burakovsky
Novak
P1
40.0%
41.5%
P2
0.0%
44.0%
P3
100.0%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burakovsky
38.0%▼
46.5%
33.3%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%