Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burakovsky 48.3% vs Novak 46.5% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Novak 51.8%
Defensive zone
Novak 64.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 54.0%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Burakovsky
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burakovsky
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (20)
43.2% (118)
-3.2%
On even strength, Novak has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Burakovsky is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Burakovsky shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Burakovsky
Novak
Home
50.0% (14)
50.7% (71)
Away
16.7% (6)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Burakovsky
Novak
P1
23.1%
44.7%
P2
80.0%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
38.9%
Final 5 min
25.0%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burakovsky
38.0%▼
46.5%
40.0%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.0%