Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Athanasiou wins 36.2% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Athanasiou 43.9% vs Ryan 55.9% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Athanasiou 88.8%
Defensive zone
Athanasiou 77.8%
Neutral zone
Athanasiou 85.0%
Result
Andreas Athanasiou favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Athanasiou
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Athanasiou
Ryan
Last 7: Athanasiou 1-6 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Athanasiou
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
4
Athanasiou
Ryan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Athanasiou
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Athanasiou
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (237)
56.5% (816)
-16.0%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
55.2% (105)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
63.2% (19)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Athanasiou is 36.2% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Athanasiou shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
Athanasiou
Ryan
Home
38.9% (149)
56.7% (466)
Away
45.3% (106)
56.3% (474)
By Period
Athanasiou
Ryan
P1
32.5%
55.4%
P2
45.9%
58.1%
P3
43.6%
55.8%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Athanasiou
48.0%▬
47.5%
41.6%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 07:14 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |