Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Athanasiou wins 36.5% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Athanasiou 47.8% vs Ryan 50.0% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Athanasiou 72.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 80.5%
Neutral zone
Athanasiou 55.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Athanasiou
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Athanasiou
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (152)
50.9% (344)
-5.5%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
75.0% (4)
-22.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.3% (86)
+54.7%
On penalty kill, Athanasiou has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Athanasiou is 36.5% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Athanasiou shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Athanasiou
Ryan
Home
45.6% (90)
53.7% (214)
Away
47.6% (84)
46.4% (220)
By Period
Athanasiou
Ryan
P1
47.5%
45.0%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
42.0%
54.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Athanasiou
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.6%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%