Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Athanasiou on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Athanasiou wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Athanasiou 44.4% vs Domi 48.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 61.5%
Defensive zone
Domi 69.3%
Neutral zone
Domi 60.1%
Result
Max Domi favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Athanasiou
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Athanasiou
Domi
Last 9: Athanasiou 5-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Athanasiou
3
0
Athanasiou
Domi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
Athanasiou
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Athanasiou
Domi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Athanasiou
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,255)
48.1% (4,296)
-4.4%
Power Play
47.6% (105)
53.4% (633)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
48.8% (41)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Athanasiou is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (949).
Athanasiou shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Home / Away
Athanasiou
Domi
Home
45.1% (687)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
42.9% (700)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Athanasiou
Domi
P1
45.9%
48.7%
P2
45.2%
48.3%
P3
40.2%
49.8%
OT
55.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
45.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Athanasiou
48.0%▬
47.5%
44.0%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Max Domi |