Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Athanasiou wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Athanasiou 48.7% vs Sturm 57.1% (-12.4%)
Offensive zone
Athanasiou 60.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 63.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 55.5%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Athanasiou
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Athanasiou
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (53)
62.1% (356)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
38.7% (62)
-5.4%
On even strength, Sturm has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Athanasiou is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Athanasiou shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Athanasiou
Sturm
Home
50.0% (30)
61.8% (191)
Away
42.3% (26)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Athanasiou
Sturm
P1
27.3%
58.0%
P2
50.0%
57.9%
P3
52.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
69.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Athanasiou
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%