Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Loktionov wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Loktionov 42.2% vs Goc 52.3% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Loktionov 80.9%
Defensive zone
Goc 66.5%
Neutral zone
Loktionov 64.6%
Result
Andrei Loktionov favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Loktionov
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Loktionov
Goc
Last 8: Loktionov 3-5 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Loktionov
1
0
Loktionov
Goc
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
2
Loktionov
Goc
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
2
3
Loktionov
Goc
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Loktionov
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (712)
53.0% (3,301)
-12.0%
Power Play
46.6% (58)
58.0% (314)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
47.4% (728)
-34.9%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Loktionov is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Loktionov shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Home / Away
Loktionov
Goc
Home
41.9% (358)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
40.6% (421)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Loktionov
Goc
P1
43.3%
51.9%
P2
37.8%
53.1%
P3
42.6%
52.4%
OT
25.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
45.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Loktionov
36.0%▼
41.0%
41.2%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 02:34 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |