Scouting Report
Connor Brown holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Cogliano wins 36.9% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 39.5% vs Brown 47.5% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 63.2%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 74.3%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 56.7%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Cogliano
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cogliano
Brown
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Cogliano
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
35.8% (53)
33.3% (24)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (110)
46.2% (13)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Brown has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Cogliano is 36.9% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Cogliano shoots left. Brown is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Brown
Home
40.9% (88)
37.5% (8)
Away
24.0% (75)
42.4% (33)
By Period
Cogliano
Brown
P1
38.2%
26.7%
P2
28.6%
46.7%
P3
34.2%
54.5%
Final 5 min
40.6%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
33.1%
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Connor Brown |