Scouting Report
David Moss holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Cogliano wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Moss shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Moss 43.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moss 56.4%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 57.1%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 50.2%
Result
David Moss favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Cogliano
Moss
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cogliano
Moss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Moss
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Moss
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
42.1% (503)
-0.4%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
44.8% (58)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
39.5% (114)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moss shoots right. Cogliano is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (703).
Cogliano shoots left. Moss is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Moss
Home
43.4% (1,069)
47.0% (336)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
37.3% (343)
By Period
Cogliano
Moss
P1
41.2%
38.7%
P2
37.7%
41.9%
P3
43.6%
45.8%
OT
41.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | David Moss |