Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Cogliano wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 43.6% vs Benn 46.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cogliano 64.6%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 72.2%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 65.5%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Cogliano
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Cogliano
Benn
Last 10: Cogliano 2-8 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Benn
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
8
Cogliano
Benn
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (308)
46.4% (612)
-2.2%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
43.2% (95)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
57.6% (33)
-21.8%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Cogliano is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Cogliano shoots left. Benn is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Benn
Home
50.0% (188)
48.5% (377)
Away
34.3% (198)
43.9% (374)
By Period
Cogliano
Benn
P1
44.0%
40.4%
P2
41.3%
52.1%
P3
40.5%
46.8%
OT
44.4%
36.4%
Final 5 min
42.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |