Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Cogliano wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Benn 52.9% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Cogliano 79.2%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 91.0%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 85.8%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Cogliano
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Cogliano
Benn
Last 10: Cogliano 4-6 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
4
3
Cogliano
Benn
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
9
Cogliano
Benn
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
53.5% (6,450)
-11.8%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
52.5% (2,054)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
49.3% (515)
-10.5%
On even strength, Benn has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Cogliano is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,400).
Cogliano shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Benn
Home
43.4% (1,069)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Cogliano
Benn
P1
41.2%
51.9%
P2
37.7%
52.6%
P3
43.6%
54.0%
OT
41.5%
62.4%
Final 5 min
38.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |