Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Madden on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cogliano wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Madden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 42.3% vs Madden 50.9% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 77.2%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 85.6%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 78.8%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Cogliano
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Cogliano
Madden
Last 7: Cogliano 1-6 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Madden
0
2
Cogliano
Madden
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
0
2
Cogliano
Madden
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
1
2
Cogliano
Madden
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (810)
51.8% (815)
-10.2%
Power Play
43.9% (66)
60.7% (28)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (215)
45.0% (129)
-4.1%
On power play, Madden has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Cogliano is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Cogliano shoots left. Madden is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Madden
Home
43.7% (572)
52.8% (527)
Away
39.4% (536)
49.0% (461)
By Period
Cogliano
Madden
P1
39.2%
50.5%
P2
37.4%
52.0%
P3
48.2%
50.0%
OT
38.9%
62.5%
Final 5 min
39.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
41.6%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | John Madden |