Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Madden on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cogliano wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Madden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Madden 50.6% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 77.4%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 84.4%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 80.2%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Cogliano
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Cogliano
Madden
Last 7: Cogliano 1-6 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Madden
0
2
Cogliano
Madden
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
0
2
Cogliano
Madden
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
1
2
Cogliano
Madden
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
51.2% (1,083)
-9.5%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
51.5% (33)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
47.6% (164)
-8.8%
On even strength, Madden has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Cogliano is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,400).
Cogliano shoots left. Madden is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Madden
Home
43.4% (1,069)
52.7% (678)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
48.5% (623)
By Period
Cogliano
Madden
P1
41.2%
51.5%
P2
37.7%
52.5%
P3
43.6%
47.6%
OT
41.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
38.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | John Madden |