Scouting Report
Andrew Cogliano holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Cogliano wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Dach 37.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 63.2%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 64.0%
Neutral zone
Dach 50.1%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Cogliano
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cogliano
Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Dach
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
36.5% (1,423)
+5.2%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
35.7% (98)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
36.0% (25)
+2.8%
On power play, Cogliano has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Cogliano is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (703).
Cogliano shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Dach
Home
43.4% (1,069)
37.0% (857)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
35.8% (689)
By Period
Cogliano
Dach
P1
41.2%
35.3%
P2
37.7%
34.5%
P3
43.6%
40.4%
OT
41.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |