Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Cogliano wins 30.6% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 39.5% vs Carlsson 37.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 73.0%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 61.9%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 51.2%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Cogliano
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cogliano
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
1
Cogliano
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
35.8% (53)
34.4% (535)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (110)
40.0% (5)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Cogliano is 30.6% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Cogliano shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Carlsson
Home
40.9% (88)
38.6% (254)
Away
24.0% (75)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Cogliano
Carlsson
P1
38.2%
35.9%
P2
28.6%
33.8%
P3
34.2%
34.3%
OT
28.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
40.6%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
33.1%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |