Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cogliano on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cogliano wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 42.3% vs Cullen 55.5% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Cogliano leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cullen 77.1%
Defensive zone
Cullen 64.7%
Neutral zone
Cullen 74.9%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Cogliano
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Cogliano
Cullen
Last 10: Cogliano 5-5 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
3
2
Cogliano
Cullen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
2
Cogliano
Cullen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cogliano
3
2
Cogliano
Cullen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (810)
55.1% (652)
-13.5%
Power Play
43.9% (66)
54.7% (75)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (215)
65.7% (99)
-24.8%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Cogliano is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Cogliano shoots left. Cullen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Cullen
Home
43.7% (572)
55.3% (421)
Away
39.4% (536)
56.9% (422)
By Period
Cogliano
Cullen
P1
39.2%
54.4%
P2
37.4%
57.3%
P3
48.2%
56.6%
OT
38.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
39.4%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
41.6%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |