Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cogliano on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Cogliano wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Cullen 53.6% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Cogliano leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Cullen 73.8%
Defensive zone
Cullen 77.4%
Neutral zone
Cullen 77.5%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Cogliano
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Cogliano
Cullen
Last 10: Cogliano 5-5 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
4
2
Cogliano
Cullen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
3
Cogliano
Cullen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cogliano
6
5
Cogliano
Cullen
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
54.8% (5,371)
-13.1%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
52.3% (421)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
48.0% (953)
-9.2%
On even strength, Cullen has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Cogliano is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,400).
Cogliano shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Cullen
Home
43.4% (1,069)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Cogliano
Cullen
P1
41.2%
54.7%
P2
37.7%
52.8%
P3
43.6%
53.3%
OT
41.5%
62.7%
Final 5 min
38.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 2 | 15:18 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |