Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cogliano wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 43.6% vs Stajan 51.6% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 72.4%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 72.6%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 71.9%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Cogliano
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Cogliano
Stajan
Last 8: Cogliano 2-6 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
3
Cogliano
Stajan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Cogliano
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cogliano
2
1
Cogliano
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (308)
53.0% (509)
-8.8%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
41.4% (29)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
48.0% (98)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Cogliano is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Cogliano shoots left. Stajan is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Stajan
Home
50.0% (188)
53.8% (353)
Away
34.3% (198)
49.3% (286)
By Period
Cogliano
Stajan
P1
44.0%
52.0%
P2
41.3%
52.0%
P3
40.5%
51.0%
OT
44.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |