Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Cogliano wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Stajan 49.4% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Cogliano 80.0%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 88.5%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 84.4%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Cogliano
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
Cogliano
Stajan
Last 10: Cogliano 3-7 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
5
Cogliano
Stajan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
4
Cogliano
Stajan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
5
Cogliano
Stajan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
50.2% (4,944)
-8.5%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
43.2% (176)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
46.1% (864)
-7.3%
On even strength, Stajan has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Cogliano is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,400).
Cogliano shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Stajan
Home
43.4% (1,069)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Cogliano
Stajan
P1
41.2%
50.3%
P2
37.7%
48.5%
P3
43.6%
49.4%
OT
41.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
38.9%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |