Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cogliano on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Cogliano wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Fisher 51.5% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Cogliano leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 91.5%
Defensive zone
Fisher 78.8%
Neutral zone
Fisher 86.6%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 83.7%
16.3%
83.7%
Cogliano
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Cogliano
Fisher
Last 10: Cogliano 7-3 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Fisher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
4
2
Cogliano
Fisher
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cogliano
3
2
Cogliano
Fisher
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
51.4% (6,100)
-9.7%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
53.8% (1,126)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
48.8% (781)
-10.0%
On power play, Fisher has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Cogliano is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (703).
Cogliano shoots left. Fisher is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,543).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Fisher
Home
43.4% (1,069)
52.4% (4,113)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
50.6% (3,922)
By Period
Cogliano
Fisher
P1
41.2%
49.6%
P2
37.7%
52.8%
P3
43.6%
52.2%
OT
41.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
38.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 06:19 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |