Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 21 meetings). Cogliano wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Koivu 54.0% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 27-15 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Cogliano 87.9%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 85.3%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 93.2%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 89.8%
89.8%
10.2%
Cogliano
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
27
(42 meetings)
15
27
Cogliano
Koivu
Last 10: Cogliano 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
6
Cogliano
Koivu
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Cogliano
Koivu
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
6
15
Cogliano
Koivu
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
54.0% (9,465)
-12.3%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
58.6% (2,100)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
48.9% (1,688)
-10.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Cogliano is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,400).
Cogliano shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Koivu
Home
43.4% (1,069)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Cogliano
Koivu
P1
41.2%
53.5%
P2
37.7%
54.6%
P3
43.6%
54.0%
OT
41.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
38.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2014 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |