Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Cogliano wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 43.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 61.1%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 67.0%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 63.4%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Cogliano
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cogliano
Stastny
Last 6: Cogliano 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Cogliano
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (308)
55.0% (1,136)
-10.8%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
57.5% (200)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
53.1% (64)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Cogliano is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Cogliano shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Stastny
Home
50.0% (188)
58.5% (744)
Away
34.3% (198)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Cogliano
Stastny
P1
44.0%
57.9%
P2
41.3%
54.9%
P3
40.5%
53.0%
OT
44.4%
72.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 00:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |