Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +18.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 47.9% vs Stastny 55.4% (-18.5%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 51.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 70.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 55.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Cogliano
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (16)
59.2% (370)
-21.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
40.9% (44)
+59.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
51.7% (58)
-26.7%
On power play, Cogliano has a +59.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Cogliano is 62.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Cogliano shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Stastny
Home
50.0% (10)
57.7% (215)
Away
27.3% (11)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Cogliano
Stastny
P1
50.0%
57.7%
P2
36.4%
54.2%
P3
0.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
38.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%