Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.6% vs 41.8%). Look for Regin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cogliano wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Regin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 42.3% vs Regin 43.8% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Regin 65.2%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 73.7%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 52.6%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Cogliano
Regin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cogliano
Regin
Last 6: Cogliano 3-3 Regin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
2
0
Cogliano
Regin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Regin
1
3
Cogliano
Regin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Regin
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (810)
42.9% (268)
-1.3%
Power Play
43.9% (66)
35.0% (40)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (215)
37.5% (8)
+3.4%
On power play, Cogliano has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Regin shoots left. Cogliano is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Cogliano shoots left. Regin is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Regin
Home
43.7% (572)
41.2% (182)
Away
39.4% (536)
42.5% (134)
By Period
Cogliano
Regin
P1
39.2%
44.4%
P2
37.4%
43.9%
P3
48.2%
36.0%
OT
38.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.4%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
41.6%
Regin
54.0%▲
48.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2011 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |