Scouting Report
Peter Regin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Regin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cogliano wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Regin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Regin 44.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Regin 56.7%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 61.2%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 50.3%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Cogliano
Regin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cogliano
Regin
Last 6: Cogliano 3-3 Regin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
2
0
Cogliano
Regin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Regin
1
3
Cogliano
Regin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Regin
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
45.8% (836)
-4.1%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
39.2% (74)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
24.7% (73)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Cogliano has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Regin shoots left. Cogliano is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,400).
Cogliano shoots left. Regin is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Regin
Home
43.4% (1,069)
42.6% (533)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
45.1% (450)
By Period
Cogliano
Regin
P1
41.2%
46.7%
P2
37.7%
43.9%
P3
43.6%
40.8%
OT
41.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
38.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Regin
54.0%▲
48.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2011 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |