Scouting Report
Ryan Greene holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Cogliano wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Greene 44.7% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 53.5%
Defensive zone
Greene 52.6%
Neutral zone
Greene 51.1%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Cogliano
Greene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
43.7% (524)
-2.0%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
47.5% (59)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
43.6% (149)
-4.8%
On power play, Greene has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Cogliano is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (703).
Cogliano shoots left. Greene is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Greene
Home
43.4% (1,069)
47.4% (382)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
40.3% (350)
By Period
Cogliano
Greene
P1
41.2%
46.4%
P2
37.7%
38.9%
P3
43.6%
47.0%
OT
41.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.0%