Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 47.9% vs Gagner 47.5% (-8.6%)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 65.8%
Defensive zone
Gagner 80.7%
Neutral zone
Gagner 52.6%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Cogliano
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (16)
51.3% (158)
-13.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
66.7% (36)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
33.6% (110)
-8.6%
On power play, Cogliano has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Cogliano is 23.1% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Cogliano shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Gagner
Home
50.0% (10)
53.2% (154)
Away
27.3% (11)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Cogliano
Gagner
P1
50.0%
35.6%
P2
36.4%
52.7%
P3
0.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
38.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%