Scouting Report
Tom Wandell holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wandell on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cogliano wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Wandell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Wandell 44.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 58.6%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 64.2%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 62.6%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Cogliano
Wandell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Cogliano
Wandell
Last 9: Cogliano 2-7 Wandell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Wandell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wandell
1
3
Cogliano
Wandell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wandell
0
3
Cogliano
Wandell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Wandell
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
42.9% (791)
-1.2%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
51.3% (39)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
42.1% (38)
-3.3%
On power play, Wandell has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wandell shoots left. Cogliano is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,400).
Cogliano shoots left. Wandell is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Wandell
Home
43.4% (1,069)
41.2% (413)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
45.3% (457)
By Period
Cogliano
Wandell
P1
41.2%
45.1%
P2
37.7%
41.2%
P3
43.6%
44.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Wandell
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Tom Wandell |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Tom Wandell |