Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Tkachuk 56.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 56.9%
Defensive zone
Copp 92.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 72.9%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Copp
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Copp
Tkachuk
Last 5: Copp 0-5 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
4
Copp
Tkachuk
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
1
Copp
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
56.8% (139)
-2.5%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
60.6% (94)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
100.0% (1)
-54.4%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +54.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Copp is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Copp shoots left. Tkachuk is 62.6% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Copp
Tkachuk
Home
54.4% (408)
50.4% (121)
Away
53.4% (410)
67.3% (113)
By Period
Copp
Tkachuk
P1
53.3%
57.1%
P2
54.1%
60.0%
P3
54.9%
58.3%
OT
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 01:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |