Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 52.6%). Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Tkachuk 52.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 83.2%
Defensive zone
Copp 89.5%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 50.2%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Copp
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Copp
Tkachuk
Last 5: Copp 2-3 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
3
Copp
Tkachuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Tkachuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
47.9% (192)
+6.2%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
57.8% (187)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
0.0% (1)
+42.2%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +42.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Copp
Tkachuk
Home
51.9% (511)
56.0% (175)
Away
55.3% (490)
49.8% (205)
By Period
Copp
Tkachuk
P1
54.1%
55.0%
P2
54.2%
51.9%
P3
52.5%
47.3%
OT
0.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |