Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.4%). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Cizikas 52.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 68.9%
Defensive zone
Copp 50.3%
Neutral zone
Copp 54.7%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Copp
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Copp
Cizikas
Last 5: Copp 1-4 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
2
Copp
Cizikas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Copp
Cizikas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Cizikas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
53.7% (525)
+0.4%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
100.0% (1)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
51.7% (120)
-9.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Copp
Cizikas
Home
51.9% (511)
58.6% (307)
Away
55.3% (490)
48.7% (339)
By Period
Copp
Cizikas
P1
54.1%
56.7%
P2
54.2%
49.8%
P3
52.5%
53.8%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 10:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |