Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 46.8% vs Wagner 52.9% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 57.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 59.4%
Neutral zone
Copp 57.8%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Copp
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Copp
Wagner
Last 9: Copp 3-6 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
0
3
Copp
Wagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Wagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Wagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (424)
55.4% (258)
-8.2%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
0.0% (2)
+55.6%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
35.7% (14)
+0.1%
On power play, Copp has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Copp is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Copp shoots left. Wagner is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Copp
Wagner
Home
46.2% (251)
56.7% (120)
Away
46.0% (235)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Copp
Wagner
P1
53.1%
53.6%
P2
41.8%
53.7%
P3
43.5%
54.9%
Final 5 min
39.8%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.1%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 13:40 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |