Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Wagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Wagner 49.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Wagner leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 58.4%
Defensive zone
Wagner 71.8%
Neutral zone
Wagner 57.3%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Copp
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Copp
Wagner
Last 10: Copp 5-5 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
3
Copp
Wagner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
3
Copp
Wagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Wagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,314)
50.8% (1,243)
+1.6%
Power Play
58.3% (477)
40.0% (20)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (920)
42.0% (307)
+3.3%
On power play, Copp has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,397).
Copp shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Copp
Wagner
Home
52.6% (3,451)
49.8% (817)
Away
51.0% (3,260)
47.9% (753)
By Period
Copp
Wagner
P1
53.2%
48.6%
P2
51.5%
48.6%
P3
51.2%
49.5%
OT
38.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.8%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 13:40 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |