Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Dvorak 56.0% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 59.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 50.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 58.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Copp
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Copp
Dvorak
Last 7: Copp 5-2 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
Dvorak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Dvorak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Dvorak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
57.0% (291)
-2.9%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
83.3% (18)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
50.0% (32)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Copp
Dvorak
Home
51.9% (511)
58.3% (151)
Away
55.3% (490)
57.4% (190)
By Period
Copp
Dvorak
P1
54.1%
56.7%
P2
54.2%
56.7%
P3
52.5%
59.6%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
61.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2023 | OT | 01:52 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |