Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.1%). Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.6% vs MacKenzie 51.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 63.9%
Defensive zone
Copp 60.3%
Neutral zone
Copp 58.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Copp
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Copp
MacKenzie
Last 7: Copp 1-6 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
MacKenzie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
3
Copp
MacKenzie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
3
Copp
MacKenzie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (461)
55.7% (438)
-4.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
80.0% (5)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (107)
41.4% (162)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Copp is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Copp shoots left. MacKenzie is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Copp
MacKenzie
Home
53.5% (318)
51.3% (312)
Away
49.8% (253)
52.9% (293)
By Period
Copp
MacKenzie
P1
50.0%
50.5%
P2
51.2%
48.8%
P3
53.3%
57.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.8%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 17:02 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 12:15 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |