Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 76.2%
Defensive zone
Copp 58.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 62.2%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Copp
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Copp
MacKenzie
Last 10: Copp 3-7 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
MacKenzie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
3
Copp
MacKenzie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
3
Copp
MacKenzie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
54.9% (3,660)
-2.5%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
55.9% (102)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
46.7% (1,158)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Copp shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
Home / Away
Copp
MacKenzie
Home
52.7% (3,528)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Copp
MacKenzie
P1
53.0%
51.9%
P2
51.4%
53.0%
P3
51.4%
54.0%
OT
39.0%
65.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 17:02 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 12:15 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |