Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.7%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Larkin 52.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 59.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 72.9%
Neutral zone
Copp 66.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Copp
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
18
(28 meetings)
10
18
Copp
Larkin
Last 10: Copp 6-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
9
Copp
Larkin
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
5
4
Copp
Larkin
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
5
Copp
Larkin
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
51.7% (9,019)
+0.7%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
58.5% (2,125)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
50.2% (1,122)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Copp shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Copp
Larkin
Home
52.7% (3,528)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Copp
Larkin
P1
53.0%
52.7%
P2
51.4%
53.1%
P3
51.4%
52.1%
OT
39.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:09 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |