Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.3%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Larkin 52.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 53.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 55.5%
Neutral zone
Copp 52.9%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Copp
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Copp
Larkin
Last 10: Copp 6-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
4
Copp
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
2
Copp
Larkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Copp
Larkin
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
51.8% (903)
+1.8%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
56.0% (225)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
47.4% (76)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Copp
Larkin
Home
54.6% (346)
55.6% (662)
Away
51.8% (363)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Copp
Larkin
P1
55.3%
49.9%
P2
50.0%
52.7%
P3
55.1%
53.0%
OT
33.3%
68.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:09 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |