Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Malkin 48.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 65.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 87.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 77.1%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Copp
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Copp
Malkin
Last 8: Copp 5-3 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Copp
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
0
Copp
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
47.9% (776)
+6.2%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
66.7% (24)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
100.0% (1)
-57.8%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +57.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Copp
Malkin
Home
51.9% (511)
49.6% (405)
Away
55.3% (490)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Copp
Malkin
P1
54.1%
49.6%
P2
54.2%
47.2%
P3
52.5%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |