Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Spezza 54.7% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 65.2%
Defensive zone
Copp 61.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 55.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Copp
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
13
(29 meetings)
16
13
Copp
Spezza
Last 10: Copp 6-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
9
3
Copp
Spezza
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
3
Copp
Spezza
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
7
Copp
Spezza
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
54.4% (7,990)
-2.0%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
56.8% (1,726)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
52.7% (643)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Copp
Spezza
Home
52.7% (3,528)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Copp
Spezza
P1
53.0%
55.7%
P2
51.4%
54.4%
P3
51.4%
54.1%
OT
39.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |