Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.9%). Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Spezza 52.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 52.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 58.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 51.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Copp
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Copp
Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Copp
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
53.7% (451)
-0.1%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
54.3% (92)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
38.2% (34)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Copp is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Copp shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Copp
Spezza
Home
54.6% (346)
55.0% (282)
Away
51.8% (363)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Copp
Spezza
P1
55.3%
53.1%
P2
50.0%
53.2%
P3
55.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |