Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.1% vs Spezza 55.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 55.1%
Defensive zone
Spezza 84.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 66.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Copp
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Copp
Spezza
Last 7: Copp 5-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
5
0
Copp
Spezza
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Copp
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (152)
57.9% (292)
-8.6%
Power Play
64.9% (57)
62.3% (53)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
52.9% (138)
-5.1%
On even strength, Spezza has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Copp is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Copp shoots left. Spezza is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Copp
Spezza
Home
53.5% (114)
58.4% (238)
Away
52.5% (118)
55.5% (245)
By Period
Copp
Spezza
P1
53.2%
59.2%
P2
52.5%
54.8%
P3
54.3%
57.4%
Final 5 min
51.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |