Andrew Copp vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Pageau 58.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 73.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 64.5%
Neutral zone
Copp 50.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Copp
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Copp
Pageau
Last 6: Copp 3-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Copp
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
59.1% (687)
-4.8%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
69.4% (36)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
60.1% (213)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Copp is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Copp shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Copp
Pageau
Home
54.4% (408)
57.8% (377)
Away
53.4% (410)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Copp
Pageau
P1
53.3%
54.1%
P2
54.1%
62.1%
P3
54.9%
61.8%
OT
20.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |