Andrew Copp vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Copp wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Pageau 55.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 63.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 59.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 59.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Copp
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Copp
Pageau
Last 7: Copp 3-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
3
Copp
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Copp
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
57.1% (905)
-3.0%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
55.2% (116)
+22.3%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
48.0% (204)
-5.8%
On power play, Copp has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Copp is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Copp shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Copp
Pageau
Home
51.9% (511)
57.0% (618)
Away
55.3% (490)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Copp
Pageau
P1
54.1%
54.4%
P2
54.2%
61.0%
P3
52.5%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |