Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Thornton 54.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 81.1%
Defensive zone
Thornton 59.6%
Neutral zone
Thornton 71.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Copp
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Copp
Thornton
Last 10: Copp 8-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Thornton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
2
Copp
Thornton
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
5
2
Copp
Thornton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
53.5% (6,640)
-1.1%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
57.2% (1,387)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
56.7% (427)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Copp shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Copp
Thornton
Home
52.7% (3,528)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Copp
Thornton
P1
53.0%
55.0%
P2
51.4%
53.3%
P3
51.4%
54.4%
OT
39.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |