Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Bailey 45.5% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 54.9%
Defensive zone
Copp 64.0%
Neutral zone
Copp 51.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Copp
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Copp
Bailey
Last 6: Copp 3-3 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
2
Copp
Bailey
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Bailey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Bailey
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
45.8% (1,991)
+6.6%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
48.1% (295)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
39.9% (281)
+5.4%
On power play, Copp has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Copp shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Copp
Bailey
Home
52.7% (3,528)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Copp
Bailey
P1
53.0%
46.5%
P2
51.4%
44.8%
P3
51.4%
44.4%
OT
39.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 13:12 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |